The Ministry of Home Affairs' {MHA} National Institute of Disaster Management {NIDM} has warned that the earthquake with the magnitude of 8.2 or greater is going to rock North India especially the mountains.
The experts have said that a series of earthquake of Manipur {India} in 2016, Gorkha{Nepal} 2015 and Sikkim {India} 2011 have re-ruptured the already ruptured tectonic plates underneath the Himalayan region of India. Some international scientists even believe that recently rocked Manipur Earthquake is the sign that the stress has not been fully released which increased the chance of at least 4 earthquakes greater than 8 magnitude in the region.
Factually speaking, the tectonic plates of Nepal, Bhutan, India and Myanmar are interconnected. Though scientists reserve their arguments, there are some underestimated truths that can give some hopes which I would like to say Secrets of India Earthquake in this article.
Here scientists are talking about an earthquake caused by another one. But is there any known mechanism that has caused an earthquake to trigger another one in another place? Obviously not. The past observation says that the earthquake can trigger stress only over some hundreds of miles not thousands because the crust is not so rigid to facilitate stress transfer over thousands of miles.
USGS scientists say there is evidence that some major earthquakes manage to trigger stress much greater distances like thousands of miles but these triggered quakes are small and very short lived.
Another thing seismologists often talk is the record of accumulated stress on the fault which is recorded through the satellite camera. But the hidden secret which public is always confused is that it is not possible to make a direct measurement of stress on the fault. What scientists can do is measuring the stress of fault with satellite camera and then developing a model by integrating the record with the history of previous earthquakes on the fault which will give a rough idea where future earthquake is likely to strike.
In conclusion, there is no mechanism developed so far which can predict earthquake with definite magnitude and time. The only one thing scientists can do so far is the long term prediction which is a rough estimation and that should not be misunderstood.
Discovered by Don Prince
