Question may arise here how do I know this aftershock was going to hit? Though April 25 became a curse for Nepal, the positive aspect of this earthquake is that it might have revealed the secret of aftershocks in the world. If it is proven to be true, no harm on humans will be caused due to aftershock like May 12 in future. Ultimately, the fear of earthquake will be an old age history on the earth. Because I believe that if aftershocks are predictable, Earthquake is not beyond this rule. Because aftershock and earthquake are same. And it is well known to all that even USGS believes aftershocks are predictable.
After experiencing April 25 earthquake and its all aftershocks on the spot, I have discovered that aftershocks are uncertain but they are not random. They run in a kind of special law. And I am sorry, I have named it after my name, i.e. ‘’Prince’s Law of Aftershock’’. For the first time, as an experiment, I had predicted 5.8 M aftershock on 27 May 2015 through this law which came true on 11 June 2015. Have a glance on the screenshot below where one of the readers of National Discovery has notified that the prediction has come true.
You may ask what is next then. Is Nepal still vulnerable to strongest aftershock like May 12? The answer sounds very cool. Now the upcoming strongest aftershock is 4.8 and there won’t be any aftershock greater than it in this sequence. Ok, but how?
‘’Prince’s Law of Aftershock’’ says, ‘’When a big earthquake more than 7 M takes place, aftershocks begin. These aftershocks are always led by strongest shock. Gradually the magnitude of the strongest aftershock decreases. While changing rate of decrement, it follows special rule. Now the strongest aftershock is decreasing with 0.1 magnitudes.’’
If you analyse the aftershocks recorded by National Seismological Centre, you will definitely have a clear idea about it.
But how to recognize the strongest aftershocks? They appear after an interval time usually after a gap of aftershocks. Moreover it may follow the universal law of earthquake, so when the strongest aftershock hits, it may trigger another shock after 24 hours which will be about 1 M less. After the strongest aftershock, the numbers of aftershocks will increase for some days.
The evidence for this 4.9 M of 10 August was the strongest aftershock with its aftershocks sequences is that on 11 August 3.7 M hit that happened exactly after 24 hours and it was about 1 M less than the previous strongest shock of 4.9.
Actually I am planning to release this ''Prince's Law of Aftershock'' with its formula and statistics after three months. But the 4.9 aftershock of 10 August forced me to publish it right now at least partially. on 11 August at 10:42 am, an aftershock hit Kathmandu. The magnitude was only 4.3. However it terrorized people because epicentre was in the local area. Though some aftershocks around 4.3 M was frequently taking place in other areas of Nepal, people became nervous in Kathmandu and even schools and shops were closed. In the other hand, aftershocks are seen again active in Nepal. So people have been confused and frustrated. But it is normal. As I mentioned above aftershocks increase again because of the strongest aftershock which will decrease exponentially. So there is nothing to worry about.
You are reading this finding freely because I have created it for the people like you. Now it’s your responsibility to let other people know the reality so that they come out of the earthquake trauma and save themselves during aftershock. You can do it by sharing this article with as many friends and relatives as you can.
Have a safe life journey!
Discovered by Don Prince
