‘’Explain the May 12 earthquake’’
‘’What does your calculation say about Tuesday’s earthquake? Does it still follow your theory?’’
Those are some of the responses of readers in this blog after 12th May earthquake in Nepal. I am writing this article to answer all the curiosities related to my viral article published a week ago.
First of all let me inform you, my previous article is still not stroke badly by the earthquake occurred on 12th May. The straight reason is that the earthquake of last Tuesday was one of the aftershocks of the mainshock occurred on 25th April. It was not a new earthquake. Let me repeat it. It was aftershock and it was smaller than the mainshock which still does not violate the established science of earthquake.
According to some geologists, there are two reasons we can say it was aftershock. First one is that it occurred in the same region and the second reason is that its magnitude was less than the mainshock of 25 April. It gave exactly 1 magnitude less aftershock after 24 hours though it had other big aftershocks immediately. Scientists believe that the large earthquake will trigger exactly 1 magnitude less another aftershock after 24 hours of the mainshock. And it had been proven by 6.9 aftershock on 26th April after the mainshock of 7.6 on 25th April.
You may say that the shaking of 12 May was not an aftershock but another new earthquake because it gave continuously about 35 aftershocks. But the actual reason behind a number of aftershocks after 6.8 shock is that it was a big aftershock not a miner one. You can also consider its duration. As it was longer than other aftershocks, you may believe that it can’t be aftershock. But that is not true. The fact is that aftershocks also can be longer like that. Remember the 6.9 aftershock of 26th April.
What does my calculation say about 12th May earthquake? Does it still follow my theory? I had not thought it in this level as I was centralised to the large earthquake of future. But after that event of 12th May, I rechecked the aftershocks patterns in NSC. I found that there was really less aftershocks from two days {only 2 aftershocks per day for two days}. Does not it follow my theory expressed in my previous article, i.e., ‘’lower the frequency, higher the magnitude’’?
It creates an odd and sucking situation. If there are more aftershocks, they are expected to be reduced and ended by the people. If there is less aftershock, again there is fear of large earthquake. Then when will the fear of earthquake end? When will the aftershocks stop? Actually aftershocks can go up to the proper balance of the tectonic plates. But what is the estimated time for it? I think the average time where aftershocks are active is 1 month. Then it starts to be rare every month like once in a month, twice in three month, once in six month, etc.
As there is less aftershock again, you may be confused. So I have written another article to clarify. If you want to read, click here.
Discovered by Don Prince
{ Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal. Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}.
{ Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal. Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}.
