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Aftershocks are Settling Exponentially We are Completely Safe

Day before yesterday I said in ''Prince's Law of Aftershock: the Biggest Secret of Aftershock Revealed'' that a strong aftershock of 4.8 M is going to strike. Yesterday exactly 4.8 M hit Dolakha district of Nepal. I was not surprised while I was listening news about this aftershock in today's morning. But I have not even thought it will happen so quickly.

As all of my calculations matched in the past, now I can surly say to myself that the severely affected earthquake zones like Kathmandu, Dolakha, Sindhupalchowk, Dhading, Nuwakot, etc. are now completely safe provided that there won't be another independent earthquake out of this rupture zone. Moreover, this quickly occurred 4.8 M aftershock has given a sign that the aftershocks are settling very fast. Otherwise I was expecting this aftershock at least after 10 days. However the aftershocks may still last up to next 6 months. But after some months, when aftershocks magnitude will be less than 4 M, it is hard to feel that aftershocks are still going on. Only the scientists and technicians who are measuring earthquake will know it.

'' So then the upcoming strongest aftershock is 4.7 M as you said it is decreasing with the rate of 0.1 M in your article.'' Today someone asked me this question. I said, '' No, we can not say like that. There is certain law but that goes differently. To know what will happen in future, we have to wait till another biggest aftershock {that may not be more than 4.8} hits. I guess next biggest one is 4.7 M because I think this pattern will continue till it declines up to 4 M. But I can definitely say the aftershock will come very soon.

As you know that after the strongest shock, another shock about 1 M less will hit exactly after 24 hours, it can be said that an aftershock with about 3.8 will hit in around 12 o'clock night today. Moreover it is sure that more aftershocks will be experienced for some days.

Today in the afternoon, while I was writing this post an aftershock with 3.8 hit Kathmandu which has made me doubtful. If it is the aftershock which I am expecting in around 12 o'clock at night today, I can say that now the aftershock  has taken another turn. And it is not a negative sign.
Discovered by Don Prince

9 comments:

  1. now what u say about 5.1mm today.....

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    1. As I have mentioned at the last paragraph of this post, now the aftershock might have taken another turn. To know what is happening, we have to observe a few days more. I will write on it then after.

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  2. the researchers believe that some of this stress has shifted west, to an area stretching from the west of Pokhara in Nepal to the north of Delhi, the report said.

    "This is a place that needs attention, and if we had an earthquake today, it would be a disaster because of the density of population not just in western Nepal but also in northern India, in the Gangetic plain," Professor Jean-Philippe Avouac, from the University of Cambridge, told BBC News.

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    1. Yes, I have read it many times. Coming Saturday, I am publishing my in depth article which will answer each and every questions regarding the possibility of earthquake in Nepal.

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  3. Hi don. Waiting for ya article.....

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    1. I am sorry, today the article was not published. Because its editing part is still left. After some days it will be published. If you are curious about the finding, I can say that I have concluded western part is not in so risk as thought. However caution should be followed.

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  4. Then what about aftershocks are coming less these days and since 2 days aftershock is also not coming

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