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Reality Behind Recurring Earthquakes

The worst thing of the 12 May strongest aftershock of Nepal is that it gave an opportunity to the rumourmongers to spread fear of larger earthquake in public. And the matter of dismay is that people lost belief on seismologists without investigating the reality. Since earthquake is uncertain science, no one can say anything accurately. All they can do is recommending 'STAY SAFE' advice whatever they explain. However the seismologists of Nepal did not explain the event of 12 May clearly. It was their mistake. I hope this post will make everyone clear and then optimistic.

First of all I want to present some rumours similar to 12 May aftershock of Nepal. During earthquake crisis of Nepal, these rumours were hot weapons to spread the gas of fear, doubt and uncertainty in the community and they might be still used. I have chosen 5 major points in the form of my ready made dialogues which are similar to the actual talks of people in the society.

‘’Hi, how are you?”
‘’What to say? I am still stressed.’’
‘’But why? I think earthquake fear is over now.’’
‘’No, it’s not over. I have just watched on TV. Earthquake returned in Turkey in 2011’’
Point to be noted: Another big quake had rocked Turkey after the mainshock in 2011.
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 ‘’I think the earthquake has said good bye.’’
‘’Don’t say like that. Earthquake had reoccurred in Haiti after 8 days of the mainshock in 2010.’’
Point to be noted: Big aftershock hit Haiti after the mainshock in 2010.
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 ‘’Why are you worried? Now, don’t think about earthquake. It’s over.’’
‘’If you say like that you may fall in legal problem. Earthquake had returned in Italy in 2012.’’
Point to be noted: Another big tremor had rocked Italy after a big quake in 2012.
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‘’I think there is chance of bigger quake.’’
‘’No, it can’t be. There is no such event in the history of earthquake.’’
‘’Why not? Chile got bigger aftershock after the big quake in 1960.’’
Point to be noted: Bigger earthquake occurred in Chile making mainshock the foreshock in 1960.
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 ‘’I am sure. We have to face big earthquake again.’’
‘’Is there any example like that?’’
‘’China got big shock after one year of the earthquake of 1975’’
Point to be noted: Another earthquake rocked China 1 year after a big tremor.
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Got confused? I know this is not first time you are hearing such type of rumours. But I am sorry to say THIS IS NOT RUMOUR. THIS IS TRUE.

Photo Credit: NSC

Wait, don’t get frustrated. These rumours are true but they are not enough to make us scared. Because the reality is different.

Reality behind recurring earthquakes

1. ''2011 Van Earthquake'' of Turkey was of 7.1 M. After 16 days 5.7 M aftershock was felt. And there was no bigger than 5.7 M again. I have already written that stronger aftershock may happen within 1 month period. So I don't think it was unusual.
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2. ''Haiti earthquake 2010''  got 5.9 aftershock after 8 days of the mainshock. This aftershock also happened within 1 month period and no aftershock more than 5.9 took place later.
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3. The ‘’2012 Northern Italy Earthquakes’’ had given 5.8 strongest aftershock after 9 days. This case is also similar to Turkey and Haiti.
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4. It is true that ''1960 Valdivia earthquake'' {Chile} had experienced foreshock. The 9.5 M biggest earthquake of the world had occurred after 7.9 M deadly shock. But that happened within the period of 24 hours. I have already said that foreshock can happen typically within 24 hours and sometimes in 3 days. Yes, earthquake scientists may present exceptional cases where foreshock happened even after months and years but they are still debatable in scientists forum.
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5. Yes, another earthquake triggered in China after 1 year of the ''Haicheng Earthquake 1975'' {This earthquake had been predicted previously through foreshocks} but the epicentre distance between two earthquakes were 942.4 km which is bigger than the length of Nepal.
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I bet no one can present any earthquake example which is unusual enough to prove that another earthquake crisis is coming. If you have found anywhere, you have done a great job. If you hear any rumour or you read any real history where earthquake is recurring breaking the general law of science, please write down in the comment. I am very happy to hunt the reality hidden behind the rumours and that will give you pleasure too.
Discovered by Don Prince

{This article is the result of the personal understanding of the author. You yourself are responsible for your thought}

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