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Wednesday, May 27, 2015

2 Reasons Why Nepal Can’t Expect Stronger Aftershock

Introduction
We Nepalese learnt a big lesson on 12th May. It was really a surprised tremor for us that taught us whether we should remain cautious all the time as earthquake is natural and random process. This event has verified the scientific concept that the frequency of aftershocks decreases with time but intensity does not decline permanently. But it does not mean that chances are higher for another 12th May.  In my views, there is less than 0.01% probability of another stronger aftershock in Nepal.

2 reasons why we can’t expect stronger aftershock

General Patterns of Aftershocks
Though every earthquake is different, the average statistics accepted worldwide are 1 aftershock 1 M and 10 aftershocks 2 M less than the mainshock. Following this rule, Nepal is expected to experience 1 aftershock of around 6.6 Ml and 10 aftershocks of around 5.6 Ml. Because the mainshock was 7.6 Ml. According to the NSC, Nepal has already experienced about 3 aftershocks of 6.6 Ml or more than 6.6 Ml and about 9 aftershocks of 5.6 or more than 5.6 Ml. Similarly we faced 7 aftershocks of 5.5 Ml which are much closed to 5.6 Ml. Besides, 4 weeks average period to decrease aftershocks of a mainshock recommended by an analysis of USGS also has ended. Now we can freely say that we have already passed this level.

Aftershocks of the Aftershock
Though mainshock releases maximum strained energy, rest of the energy still remains stored till they reach their threshold. So, aftershocks of different magnitude happen for some days, weeks, months and sometimes even years. When strongest aftershock occurs, it triggers its own aftershocks sequences which we call aftershocks of aftershock. So we can estimate that as aftershocks can’t be stronger than the mainshock, aftershocks of aftershock also are weaker than the main aftershock. This is the reason we can’t expect another aftershock more than 6.8 Ml because this is the exact intensity of the earlier strongest aftershock.

Ok, we are not going to be hit by stronger aftershock. Then do we have to face aftershock around the size of 6.8 Ml? As aftershock more than 6 Ml is enough to cause damage, this question may arise on your mind.

Though it’s my personal analysis, l am trying to link it with the rule of the general pattern of the earthquake. Once again, the rule is 1 aftershock less than 1 M and 10 aftershocks less than 2 M of the mainshock. As you know that the size of the strongest aftershock was 6.8 Ml, we can expect 1 aftershock of 5.8 Ml and 10 aftershocks of around 4 Ml.  Now once again let’s check the record of NSC in its official website. After 12 May, we faced 3 aftershocks of 5.8 or more than 5.8 Ml and 21 aftershocks between 4.5 to 5 Ml. Haven’t we passed the next level too?

 I  believe that time also could be estimated as less than 15 second for that strong aftershock as first mainshock was around 52 seconds and the strongest aftershock was about 30 seconds, declining with around half percent. Also we can consider 2 weeks periods for another strong quake {but less than 5.8 Ml} because these aftershocks were decaying more exponentially in comparison of the aftershocks of the mainshock. And I am very happy to remind you that we have passed 2 weeks {12 May to 26 May} period too.

nepal-earthquake

Conclusion
Actually strongest aftershock like 12 May was not totally abnormal according to some scientists. As we may expect 1 M less aftershock exactly after 24 hours of the mainshock, the strongest aftershock after some days was also inevitable. For instance, Haiti experienced 5.9 M strongest aftershock after 8 days of 7 M mainshock. There are many other examples. Nepal has already faced strongest aftershock of 6.8 Ml after 17 days of the mainshock on 12th May. Aren't we safe now?
Discovered by Don Prince

{Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake or strong aftershock in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake and its aftershocks.}

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Friday, May 22, 2015

3 Secrets of Nepal Earthquake That Scientists Did not Tell You

Last week, a commenter sent me a link online which said that an earthquake with more than 8 M would hit Nepal very soon. His link led me to a foreign website. I don’t know he was scientist or not but the website he recommended was scientific. I don’t know from where did he bring this link but someone had used the name and fame of United States Geological Survey to verify the claim. Though I had not trusted him, I wanted to read the article he recommended. The article had been written by some scientists. When I tried to read full story, I was taken to another webpage where I was asked to pay money. Then I understood the full story.

I know those Sci writers have bypassed 3 secrets. These 3 secrets can take Nepalese people from street to their home in a matter of a second. They will get sound sleep at night. They can come out of the mental trauma and the general life will begin within a minute. What are these secrets? Today I will not only tell those secrets but also give you scientific reasons behind them. Are you ready?

Secret No. 1
Aftershocks can not exceed the magnitude of the mainshock
The magnitude of the aftershocks can not be greater than the magnitude of the mainshock. 7.6 Ml is the exact magnitude of the mainshock stuck on 25 April in Nepal. All the earthquakes including 6.8 Ml of 12 May are the aftershocks of this mainshock. They are less than 7.6 Ml and always will be.

Yes, there was little chance of greater than 7.6 Ml earthquake provided that 7.6 becomes foreshock {If you don’t know what is foreshock, read this article}. But Nepal has already crossed the deadline of the foreshock. Typically, the foreshocks can happen in around 24 hours. So far we have already passed nearly 4 weeks. So the topic of foreshock is dead. USGS also has declared that now there is too less chance of large earthquake in Nepal. Neither is Nepal much vulnerable to the strong aftershocks in the future.

Secret No. 2
Independent earthquake is not expected in the same rupture zone
Simply, rupture zone is the area where aftershocks are appearing. Currently Gorkha, Dolakha, Kathmandu, Rasuwa, Nuwakot, Dhading etc are experiencing aftershocks. Having epicentre nearby, these areas shake more strongly with aftershocks. People are still scared of higher earthquake in these areas. Now the good news for them is that this current rupture zone can’t expect new independent earthquake. Because the stored energy of this area has been already released. The currently felt aftershocks are only the readjustment of the uneven plates beneath the crust which are less harmful. And they are the subjects to decline with time.

Source:Wikipedia

The above picture clearly says that Nepal has not experienced earthquake in the same region within a short time. There are many years gap.

Secret No. 3
Science has no way to predict exact time, place and magnitude of the earthquake
Have you heard scientists had already predicted this earthquake? If you had, don’t be surprised. This type of prediction was a long term prediction that even our illiterate grandmothers could do. Actually, the exact time, place and magnitude of the earthquake are always a mystery. There is no law, no instrument and no one that can predict the earthquake exactly. USGS also has accepted this fact.

But some scientists say that they had already predicted this earthquake. If they could, why did not they warn Nepal government to evacuate all houses before 11:56 of 25 April? The reality is that they were just preparing their report for the long term prediction of the earthquake risk in Nepal. It was just a coincidence that earthquake occurred just after some reports. Let me make it clearer.

See some major earthquakes of Nepal
Date          Mag                      Region
1934          8.0                         EDR
1980          6.5                         FWDR
1988          6.8                         EDR
2011          6.9                         EDR
2015          7.9                         WDR

Data source: Aljazeera

By analysing the above data, anyone can give a rough estimation that western parts of Nepal are more vulnerable for the earthquake. Because since 1980, this region has not experienced large earthquake. This is called seismic gap. Standing on this gap, some predicted that western parts of Nepal were going to face earthquake. If you reconsider the above data, that says that EDR experienced earthquakes serially. So no one can predict where earthquake will occur in the future. Neither is there answer of WHEN. Everything is a hoax.

At last, but not the least, I want to say that there may be exceptional cases in the history but what I want to emphasise that for the comparative prediction, earthquakes of different time and space must be similar with magnitude, intensity, types, etc. For example, Nepal earthquake 2015 got a big aftershock after 17 days. It does not predict that any oncoming earthquake of the world will experience similar pattern and there will be a large aftershock after 17 days. Because they may be different with magnitude, intensity, etc.

So running after rumours can’t help. Studying and thinking generously can give relief.    
Have a safe life journey!
Discovered by Don Prince

{ Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}




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Tuesday, May 19, 2015

USGS Says There is Only 0.3% Chance for Mega Earthquake in Nepal

A special report made by USGS after the aftershock of May 12 has concluded that there is only 0.3% probability of more than 7.8 M aftershock in Nepal. 7.8 M is the magnitude of Nepal Earthquake 2015 recorded by USGS. Similarly it says that there is only 1% chance for more than 7 M aftershock. It also says that there may be one aftershock of more than 6 M. But the probability is 15% only. Similarly It says probability is 80% that there will be 4 aftershocks between 5 to 6 magnitude.

The analysis has been made specially for the week of May 13 to May 19 and may be changed when more data becomes available. Based on the currently available data USGS says that there will not be more than 7.8 M earthquake in Nepal throughout the year.


According to Nepal Seismological Centre, from May 13 to May 19, five aftershocks of more than 5 M have been recorded in Nepal. Similarly, there were five aftershocks of more than 4.5 M aftershocks. Rest of the aftershocks were less than 4.5 M. USGS has said that the number of aftershocks will be declining with time.

This report of USGS has given a bad slap to the rumours spread in Nepal. Today is May 19. Now USGS analysis can be compared with the aftershock recorded from May 13 to May 19 in Nepal. As the magnitude recorded by NSC will be less than the record of USGS, the USGS prediction has matched with the aftershocks of the week. The analysis has also proven that the mega earthquake of 25 April is the mainshock and it can't be foreshock to predict larger earthquake in the near future.
Rediscovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}

9 Reasons Why You don’t Feel Aftershocks

A week back, people in Nepal feel almost all aftershocks. The tremor less than 4 magnitude can’t be felt. But they had begun to feel the tremor even less than 4 magnitude. But nowadays they report that they are not feeling most of the shocks. Some have experienced that they did not feel the quake even more than 4.5 magnitude. They know it only after they hear through media. Have you experienced like that?

I have noted 9 main reasons you are not feeling aftershocks:

1. Your location is far from the actual epicentre.
2. The tremor was of less than 4 magnitude.
3. There are very few aftershocks.
4. You are habituated.
5. You are staying in the strong place.
6. You are in the noisy place.
7. You are much tensed.
8. You are sleeping.
9. You are scared.

Today till 9 am, only one aftershock has gone. It occurred at 4:34 am and the epicentre was in Dolakha. Did you feel it?
Discovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}

Monday, May 18, 2015

3 Reasons Why We Can’t Expect A Big Quake Today

My newly emerged theory says in ‘’Nature had Already Given Signal for the Nepal Earthquake 2015 But No one Noticed’’ that having less earthquakes than expectation can accumulate more energy which later blasts as a big earthquake. Similarly in the II part of the article, it is said that same law can be applied with aftershocks too.

According to the record of NSC, yesterday 3 aftershocks went. It has made many people anxious. Today in NSC, only 2 aftershocks have been recorded which has increased the tension. So I have decided to write this post before anyone spreads rumour of another mega earthquake standing on my theory.


3 reasons we can’t expect a big quake:

1. One month threshold
I have already told that decline of aftershocks after one month is normal. USGS also says that the frequencies of aftershocks will start decreasing after 4 weeks. As we are running in 4th week, it can be normal for the aftershocks to be disappeared gradually.

2. Aftershocks of Aftershock
When we faced mainshock, it gave so many aftershocks. It was decreasing notably. But on 12th May a big aftershock went. Then aftershocks of that big aftershock began.  It means the aftershocks we are facing today are the aftershocks of aftershock. And it is normal that they are less in these 7 days.

3. Declining Magnitude
After the mainshock of more than 7 magnitude, there will be many aftershocks. But the magnitude will be less than the mainshock. It means when there are aftershocks of aftershocks, magnitude also will be decreasing. As a result the magnitude will be so low {less than 4} that they are not felt.

As this theory is under observation, I can't say what is going to be with nature. But we must be optimistic. There is no better alternative than it. Worrying is not solution. Walking cautiously through conscience is the best policy.
Wishing you a safe life journey!

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Discovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}

Google Boy Says Earthquake Crisis is Over

The market of False is still hot in Nepal. Many rumors have been spread dramatically compromising the emotion and peace of the general people. Aditya Dahal, the google boy of Nepal also has been made one of the strikers to hit the target.

It’s about earthquake prediction. As Nepalese people are so scared with earthquake and its aftershocks, rumor has been spread in the name of Aditya too. The parents of Aditya have extremely opposed it. They say that Aditya had/has not done any prediction about earthquake and its aftershocks of Nepal.

However, yesterday Aditya Dahal has commented about earthquake with Mr. Sushil Koirala, the present PM of Nepal. He said that Nepal would get relief from the earthquake crisis very soon. He says that the crisis is over. Ekanipur has reported.

Now the question is: Can we believe on the prediction of Aditya Dahal? I think this question is similar to the question: Can we believe on prediction? In my opinion, if it has been done on the basis of Astrology, then we can’t believe it. Because Astrology has been already suspended by the official science. In the other hand, if it is done on the basis of Psychology, it is a subject to observe and research.

Anyway, the  prediction of Aditya is positive specially for those who are running after the false prediction and rumors. Let's see what happens in future.
Wishing well being of everyone!
Discovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}

Saturday, May 16, 2015

Nature had Already Given Signal for the Nepal Earthquake 2015 But No one Noticed {Part II}

‘’You said there was no chance of large earthquake in Nepal. But 6.8 magnitude earthquake stroke Nepal on 12th May. What do you say now?’’

‘’Explain the May 12 earthquake’’

‘’What does your calculation say about Tuesday’s earthquake? Does it still follow your theory?’’

Those are some of the responses of readers in this blog after 12th May earthquake in Nepal. I am writing this article to answer all the curiosities related to my viral article published a week ago.

First of all let me inform you, my previous article is still not stroke badly by the earthquake occurred on 12th May. The straight reason is that the earthquake of last Tuesday was one of the aftershocks of the mainshock occurred on 25th April. It was not a new earthquake. Let me repeat it. It was aftershock and it was smaller than the mainshock which still does not violate the established science of earthquake.

According to some geologists, there are two reasons we can say it was aftershock. First one is that it occurred in the same region and the second reason is that its magnitude was less than the mainshock of 25 April. Additionally I want to mark that it did not give exactly 1 magnitude less aftershock after 24 hours though it had other big aftershocks immediately. Because scientists believe that the large earthquake will trigger exactly 1 magnitude less another aftershock after 24 hours of the mainshock. And it had been proven by 6.9 aftershock on 26th April after the mainshock of 7.6 on 25th April.

You may say that the shaking of 12 May was not an aftershock but another new earthquake because it gave continuously about 35 aftershocks. But the actual reason behind a number of aftershocks after 6.8 shock is that it was a big aftershock not a miner one. You can also consider its duration. As it was longer than other aftershocks, you may believe that it can’t be aftershock. But that is not true. The fact is that aftershocks also can be longer like that. Remember the 6.9 aftershock of 26th April.

What does my calculation say about 12th May earthquake? Does it still follow my theory? I had not thought it in this level as I was centralised to the large earthquake of future. But after that event of 12th May, I rechecked the aftershocks patterns in NSC.  I found that there was really less aftershocks from two days {only 2 aftershocks per day for two days}. Does not it follow my theory expressed in my previous article, i.e., ‘’lower the frequency, higher the magnitude’’?


It creates an odd and sucking situation. If there are more aftershocks, they are expected to be reduced and ended by the people. If there is less aftershock, again there is fear of large earthquake. Then when will the fear of earthquake end? When will the aftershocks stop? Actually aftershocks can go up to the proper balance of the tectonic plates. But what is the estimated time for it? I think the average time where aftershocks are active is 1 month. Then it starts to be rare every month like once in a month, twice in three month, once in six month, etc.

As there is less aftershock again, you may be confused. So I have written another article to clarify. If you want to read, click here.
Discovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}.

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Only One Aftershock of Earthquake in Kathmandu

After second week of the large earthquake of Nepal, Kathmandu city has felt only one aftershock yesterday. According to Nepal Seismological Centre, the 4.1 magnitude aftershock was raised at 03.08 am in Rasuwa district that shocked Kathmandu valley too.

After the decrement of aftershocks, people’s life in Kathmandu has begun to be general. Shops, theatres, offices, etc are open and the road is overcrowded with local vehicles. Some private schools have started session from today. People are pouring to the city from out of the valley.


However, today till this article is published, 4 aftershocks have been detected. But people are responding the shocks normally. The aftershocks which used to terrorise them in the past are being the subject of fun for them. Some intellectual people say that this is the result of the consciousness on earthquake and aftershocks increased in the last two weeks.
Discovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}.

Saturday, May 09, 2015

Nature had Already Given Signal for the Nepal Earthquake 2015 But No one Noticed

Today is the 15th day of the Nepal Earthquake 2015. Nepal was in zero level preparation for the disaster. After all, no one can predict earthquake. But today, while studying the earthquake patterns of Nepal, I have found that nature had already given signal of this disaster months ago but everyone ignored.

Yesterday there were 5 aftershocks greater than 4 magnitude. Some innocent people are still getting scared. People are discussing about aftershocks everywhere. But what about foreshocks? Foreshocks’ discussion has been overshadowed in Nepal.

Foreshocks
What are foreshocks? As we call ‘afershocks’ to the shocks after the mainshock {main earthquake}, the shocks before the mainshock are called ‘foreshocks’. Similarly, as aftershocks can happen after minutes to more than year of the mainshock, foreshocks also can happen before minutes to years of the mainshock. For example ‘2002 Sumatra Earthquake’ is regarded as the foreshock of the ‘2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake’. Geologists say that about 70% of the earthquake with more than 7 magnitude can have foreshocks. That means, we can predict large earthquake by analysing the foreshocks pattern happened minutes to years ago, though that can’t be always right. Wikipedia says that ‘1975 Haicheng Earthquake’ occurred in China had been predicted previously by analysing the increase in seismic activity {foreshocks} which triggered  an evacuation of the place under the command of the political leaders just a day before the disaster takes place.  There are many such examples in the history.

Now the question goes ‘’Did ‘Nepal Earthquake 2015’ have foreshocks?’’ Nepalese geologists say that this earthquake occurred at once without any foreshocks. But I personally believe that there must be foreshocks as chances are high that the earthquake more than 7 magnitude has foreshocks naturally. Moreover the shocks greater than 4 magnitude in Nepal were frequent around the month of the large earthquake. 2 earthquakes were more than 5 magnitude. Before 2 days of the large earthquake, an earthquake with more than 4 magnitude occurred making Kaski epicentre which is near Gorkha district. Gorkha was the epicentre of the Nepal Earthquake 2015. Though it is my personal opinion, I believe that those shocks were the foreshocks of the main earthquake occurred on 25th April 2015. The 5.9 earthquake originated in Solukhumbu district of Nepal on 18th December 2014 was the main foreshock of this Earthquake.

New Formula to predict Earthquake
While studying foreshocks to estimate future earthquake, I have accidentally discovered a new idea to predict the large earthquake before it occurs. Let’s think that this is the right formula to know the large earthquake before it shakes. This formula is specially for Nepal and it may not comply with other countries as land features are different in different countries. However it can be a reference to all conditions especially in the area similar to Nepal. So now I want to drop the topic of foreshock here and I am going to present my own idea to predict earthquake. I hope it will be taken seriously by everyone especially by the concerned authorities and lives could be saved anywhere in the future.

First of all let me tell you how can I say that nature has already given signal of the Nepal Earthquake 2015 which no one noticed. After studying the past earthquakes of Nepal through Nepal Seismological Centre, I have noted down the following important information.

Year     Earthquake
2011       46
2012       37
2013       25
2014       11

Above is the record of earthquakes of Nepal with more than 4 magnitude happened in the past 4 years. The data clarifies that the earthquakes were decreasing every year from 2011 AD. In 2014 only 11 earthquakes took place. Then Nepal experienced 7.6 ML high earthquake in 2015.

I have noticed similar patterns in many medium and large earthquakes of Nepal. The above mentioned example is only for representation.

Now with the help of the above information, we can make a formula:

Higher the frequency, Lower the magnitude
Lower the frequency, Higher the magnitude

{Only earthquakes above 4 ML or more are considered }

Let me make it clearer. There were only 11 shocks in 2014. In 2015 before the large earthquake {4 months}, there were only 6 shocks that resulted 7.6 ML high earthquake on 25 April. So now we can say that having only 11 earthquakes in 2014 was the natural signal that Nepal was going to face large earthquake more than 7 magnitude in 2015. Same condition occurred in the most of the medium and large earthquakes in the past.

Next time, if seismograph of Nepal shows fewer earthquakes {around 10} in Nepal in any year, the country should prepare for the next large earthquake {more than 7 ML} immediately. In this way I can give surprise to everyone saying that the seismograph which measures the earthquake is the right device to predict future earthquake.

This is my rough estimation. I could go more in-depth if I got all information through seismograph. Moreover, I could estimate future earthquakes more accurately, if I got 1 year free time to study on it.

Is there any chance of large earthquake in the recent month?
If earthquakes are few, there will be accumulation of energy. So there will be large blast leading a large earthquake. But if earthquakes are frequent {many}, there will be less energy accumulated that will escape the chance of large earthquake. The above made formula represents this scientific fact.

This is the reason currently there is only 0.01% chance of large earthquake in Nepal because after the big blast on 25 April, the accumulated energy has been released. Moreover the rest of the energy is being released with hundreds of aftershocks. Nepal has experienced more than 150 aftershocks and it is still going on. I think Nepal will experience more than 200 aftetshocks over the next month. It is equal to the earthquakes of several years in the past. Now for another big blast, there should be huge energy accumulation which will take many decades. So there is no chance of large earthquake in the recent month. As aftershocks are more in the recent days that have increased the time {years} of large earthquake. So there is no matter to worry.

When is the next large earthquake in Nepal?
I think at least 10 years we should not even think over the next large earthquake in Nepal. Earthquake is taking place in Nepal due to the collision of the Indian and Tibetan tectonic plates. Now the accumulated energy created due to the pressure of Indian plate towards Tibetan plate has been released. Many aftershocks also have been taken place. If we apply the above mentioned formula that says that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal before 50/60 years. Yes, if this earthquake had not been a large earthquake {had been less than 8 magnitude}, then we could have said there will be next glance of 1990 earthquake in Nepal in a few years. But this is about 8 magnitude {7.6 ML, 7.8 MW, 8.1 MS} earthquake. Now it takes about a century to accumulate similar energy. So there is no chance of another large earthquake in this century. However, there will occur earthquakes frequently in Nepal but that will be small and medium level that can rarely harm anyone.

As Nepal experienced another big aftershock of 6.8 ML on 12th May, I have written the second part of this article. If you want to read, you can click here.

{This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal. This is the scientific analysis of the author. Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and can happen anywhere and any time.}
Discovered by Don Prince

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Why are Aftershocks Good not Bad?

Yesterday Kathmandu experienced 11 aftershocks of the large earthquake occurred on 25 April. It has increased since day before. However people have responded positively. They have already returned in their usual lifestyle. Because they have understood that the number of aftershocks can not threaten their life.

If we study the previous large earthquake occurred in the different countries of the world, we can easily know the fact that high number of aftershocks ensures the least possibility of the high magnitude earthquake. Below are the number of aftershocks of some of the largest earthquakes of the world:

1. ‘The Van Earthquake 2011’ occurred in Turkey gave about 115 aftershocks.
2. ‘2010 Haiti Earthquake’ experienced about 52 aftershocks.
3. ‘2010 Chile Earthquake’ had about 10,000 aftershocks throughout the year.
4. ‘2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami’ experienced more than 1000 aftershocks.
5. ‘2012 Indian Ocean Earthquakes’ gave more about 111 aftershocks.

‘Nepal Earthquake 2015’ has given around 143 aftershocks so far. They are not more than 5 magnitudes. The earthquake less than 6 magnitudes is not harmful. So there is no matter of worry at all.
Rediscovered by Don Prince

Disclaimer: This post has been created to give relief to the people of Nepal who are fearful to the earthquake. It does not guarantee that there won’t be another large earthquake in Nepal.  Common people and the concerned authorities should be cautious towards the earthquake which is natural and may happen anywhere and any time.}.